The JSE is still going to find the going tough. The liquidity is just not there, the markets are still scrip based, exchange controls etc. But its the political side that is the real barrier. The negativity that the South Africans attract in African markets is not fully appreciated by the South Africans and its difficult to see what benefit a JSE listing will bring other than increased profile (at an increased cost). Commissions and fees will accrue to the SA market irrespective of what is said.
The correct approach would be for the SA brokers to forge alliances/ invest in the African brokers, learn the local lie of the land, sort out the research functions and play the game in the country of origin. Just like the Flemings model in the late 1990s. The countries consulted Kenya, Nigeria, Botswana, Ghana, Namibia and Mauritius all have good reason to be suspicious of SA’s intentions but conversely the conduct and regulation of the broking industry (in Kenya and Nigeria) does need significant improvement, but a listing in South Africa will not change this.
Some reasons why the JSE wont work:-
- not enough liquidity
- cost
- exchange control
- domestic overvalued equities (compared to regional peers)
Possible advantages of the JSE initiative include the ability to raise capital outside of the clearing and settlement etc of local markets.
From our IR perspective listed companies are just as able to obtain an increased profile using the web. Primary listed companies should look inward to sorting out how the stock exchanges that represent them should get their acts in order.